Susan Collins is running for a sixth term in Maine, and the 2026 race is shaping up as one of the biggest Senate battlegrounds in the country. Markets currently give Democrats about a 71% chance to flip the seat, fueled by strong Democratic energy and Collins’ status as the last senator from the “wrong” party in a non–swing state. But Collins has repeatedly proven she’s tough to beat in Maine’s independent, ticket-splitting culture—most famously in 2020, when Joe Biden won the state by nine points and Collins won her race by nine points as well. On the Democratic side, the primary is already taking shape, with political newcomer Graham Platner emerging as a clear favorite over Gov. Janet Mills, bringing a fresh profile and national attention into a race that could decide control of the Senate.

With Drake Maye and Sam Darnold at quarterback and Mike Vrabel vs Mike Macdonald on the sidelines, this Super Bowl feels more like a tight chess match than a strong betting edge, but the matchup is too big not to have an opinion.

A sellout Friday night in Philadelphia with legit energy proved Unrivaled has found its secret sauce—take the women’s game on the road, turn it into big events, clean up the confusing TV schedule, and this thing will keep popping as the talent and star power only get bigger.