BET THRIVE WNBA POWER RATINGS — JULY 25, 2026 (All-Star Break)
The Bet Thrive WNBA Power Ratings reach the All-Star break exactly the way they've operated for nearly two decades: steady, disciplined, and consistently ahead of the market.
One of the biggest mistakes bettors make is reacting too much to what happened yesterday. A team wins three games in a row, social media crowns them a contender. A contender loses twice, and suddenly they're "finished." Markets often overreact to recent results, and that's where long-term value is created.
Our ratings don't chase headlines.
These numbers are built to identify true team strength before the betting market fully catches up. They move when there is a legitimate change in a team's underlying quality, not because of one hot shooting night or one ugly loss. That's why our ratings tend to change very little from week to week. Stability isn't a weakness. It's one of the greatest strengths of the model.
These ratings have been producing value since they were first developed before the 2008 WNBA season, but they have been even strongest over the past five seasons, including this year. We continue to love our position in this market because these numbers have consistently translated into profitable day-to-day handicapping opportunities throughout the season.
Las Vegas remains our championship favorite at 108.1, but the gap has narrowed. Minnesota has quietly climbed to 107.6 and continues to look like a legitimate title threat. The futures markets now have Minnesota and nearly even money. Dallas sits third at 106.9, and we remain extremely bullish on the Wings. Their ceiling is as high as anyone's in the league, and we continue to believe the betting market is undervaluing their championship chances.
The biggest mover over the past month has been Golden State. The Valkyries have climbed to 105.2, firmly establishing themselves as one of the league's elite teams. What once looked like an expansion success story has become a legitimate championship contender. The market has been slow to fully recognize just how good Golden State has become.
New York has slipped to fifth in our ratings at 104.4, narrowly ahead of Indiana at 104.1. The Liberty remain dangerous once they get all their pieces in place, but have some obvious question marks. Indiana continues to trend upward and remains one of the most intriguing teams entering the second half.
Washington has quietly climbed into its own tier at 100.0, while Los Angeles, Phoenix, Chicago, Toronto, and Portland make up a tightly packed middle class where small improvements could significantly impact playoff positioning.
At the bottom, Seattle and Connecticut remain well behind the rest of the league. While both have shown occasional flashes, our numbers continue to indicate they are a full tier below the playoff contenders.
The second half of the season should be outstanding. The championship race remains wide open, but our ratings continue to provide a disciplined framework for identifying value before the betting market adjusts. That's been the formula since 2008, and it's working as well today as it ever has.
Bet Thrive WNBA Power Ratings — July 25
Las Vegas Aces — 108.1
Minnesota Lynx — 107.6
Dallas Wings — 106.9
Golden State Valkyries — 105.2
New York Liberty — 104.4
Indiana Fever — 104.1
Atlanta Dream — 103.4
Washington Mystics — 100.0
Los Angeles Sparks — 98.1
Phoenix Mercury — 96.6
Chicago Sky — 95.9
Toronto Tempo — 95.3
Portland Fire — 94.9
Seattle Storm — 90.9
Connecticut Sun — 89.3