Mary Peltola has surged to a 64% likelihood of winning the Alaska Senate race, signaling a broader shift in momentum toward Democrats. As races tighten across the map, Democrats are now emerging as favorites to control both the Senate and the House after the midterms.

The Trump years turned me into a firm believer in small federal government and stronger states’ rights. If some states really do govern better than others, then let them compete, let the results speak for themselves, and stop concentrating so much dangerous power in Washington.

Sherrod Brown is now favored to beat Jon Husted in Ohio, a stunning shift in a race that looked nearly impossible for Democrats just a few months ago. If Brown flips this seat, Democrats will be in real position to take back control of the U.S. Senate, making Ohio one of the races that could change everything in 2026.

George W. Bush foreign policy was an epic failure, one we thought would stand as the worst of a generation and an all-time disaster for the history books. But the overall cluelessness of this Trump endeavor is making Bush look like Churchill — not because Bush was wise, but because this operation looks so shallow, impulsive, and badly managed.

TMZ opening shop in Washington may sound absurd, but absurd might be exactly what a protected and overmanaged political class needs. If a rougher, more shameless media presence helps expose hypocrisy faster and puts real fear of consequences back into public office, then it may do more good than a lot of traditional political reporting.

I was wrong to support Eric Swalwell. The allegations, the collapse of support, and his decision to suspend his campaign all point to the same conclusion: whatever promise he may once have had as a candidate is gone, and in my view his resignation from Congress should be next.

If a Democratic president were losing a war after promising peace, facing an Epstein-related cover-up cloud, and spending a critical moment yukking it up in Miami, the media would be treating it as a full-scale national crisis. That double standard is the point: this administration is a historic failure, and too much of the media is helping normalize it.

Trump’s words are losing value by the day, meaningful now only to a shrinking base that still wants to believe the performance. For everyone else — including markets and foreign adversaries — the constant warnings, empty phrases, and made-up confidence have become more embarrassing than reassuring.

Clayton Fuller is still the clear favorite in Georgia 14, but a 97 percent market price looks too dismissive of the actual race. Shawn Harris may still be a longshot, but he has better than a 3 percent chance, and this is unlikely to be the kind of routine Republican blowout the district has often produced.

Andy Beshear still sitting around 1% for 2028 looks less like a dismissal and more like a market not yet pricing in how cautious Democrats may become. If the party decides it wants the safest, most conventional, least controversial nominee possible, Beshear’s number has a real chance to rise.

If Trump is really being briefed on the Iran war through daily montages of “stuff blowing up,” that is not leadership — it is propaganda tailored for a man who may be detached from the full reality of the conflict. In a war this serious, a president who is not forced to confront the human cost, strategic risks, and broader consequences is not just out of touch — he is dangerous.

Trump’s approval rating falling to 34 percent should not shock anyone given the economic instability, the disastrous Iran war, and an administration that seems to generate new chaos by the day. The real shock is that one-third of the country still supports it, which says as much about propaganda and narrative control as it does about Trump himself.

The Mueller Report was buried beneath one of the most effective propaganda campaigns in modern American politics, reduced to a meme and a punchline so millions would dismiss it without ever reading it. But the actual report showed sweeping Russian interference, plenty of smoke around collusion, and real flames on obstruction—evidence that was mocked, minimized, and politically buried while the country paid the price.

Annie Andrews is giving Democrats something they rarely have in South Carolina: a credible challenger with real momentum. Her odds have jumped from roughly 9% in early February to around 21% by late March, and with Democrats continuing to overperform in special elections and polling, Lindsey Graham suddenly looks more vulnerable than he has in years.

The Alaska Senate race between Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan now looks like a true dead heat, and with Democratic momentum rising nationally in a state that has always been difficult to poll and predict, this contest could play a major role in deciding control of the U.S. Senate.

Democrats have turned a Senate map that should heavily favor Republicans into a real battleground, with momentum, polling, and strong candidates suddenly putting states like Maine, North Carolina, Texas, and even longer-shot targets into serious play.