Buy Low

The hype around Texas quarterback Arch Manning took a big hit after the Longhorns’ 14–7 loss at Ohio State. Manning struggled mightily, completing only 17 passes for 170 yards with a quarterback rating of just 58. His performance had an immediate impact on the Heisman futures market, with his odds plummeting as many bettors jumped ship. But for sharp eyes, this could actually be the perfect buying opportunity.

Texas is still one of the most talented teams in the country, and their schedule provides a natural reset point. The Longhorns now enter a three-game stretch that should allow both Manning and the offense to regain confidence and rhythm. San Jose State, UTEP, and Sam Houston all come to Austin, and Texas will be a heavy favorite in each matchup. The key for bettors may not be the full-game lines, which will be inflated, but rather the first-half numbers, where Texas is more likely to cover before backups see action. This window sets up ideally for Manning to sharpen his mechanics, boost his stats, and put the Heisman conversation back into play before the critical October 4th road trip to Florida.

The public tends to overreact to a single bad game, especially one in the national spotlight like the Ohio State matchup. But Manning’s talent and Texas’s depth mean improvement is not just possible, it’s likely. With three get-right games on deck, the Longhorns have a real chance to rebuild momentum, and that makes now the time to act. Betting Arch Manning’s Heisman futures while the odds are depressed could pay big dividends if he performs as expected in the coming weeks.

The advice? Don’t wait until Gainesville. Pick your spots on Arch and Texas now, before the rest of the market catches back up.