We’re officially staying off the “add more” button on UConn futures — and now it’s even more obvious why.

Back on December 13, we wrote ‘Calling Off the Huskies’ - the core point was simple: UConn was clearly the best team in the country, but the price had finally caught up. Since then, the Huskies haven’t cooled off — they’ve separated. Their dominance has become more obvious by the week, and sportsbooks have responded the way they always do when the public and the sharp money align: the number keeps climbing. What was sitting around -150 has now drifted to -200 or higher in most places, and that amplifies our position.

Let’s be clear: this team is a machine. UConn is not “a contender.” They’re the standard. They’re not just better than the field — they’re double digits better than the next closest team, and right now that next team is UCLA. That gap matters. In women’s basketball, true separation is everything, because elite execution and discipline travel. UConn can beat you with talent, with structure, with depth, and with adjustments. They can win pretty, they can win ugly, and they can win when the other team plays well.

And yes — the roster is terrifying. Sarah Strong has looked like the best player in the sport, Azzi Fudd is playing like a top-tier star, and the depth behind them is the kind of depth that breaks opponents over 40 minutes. Even if you take one piece away, UConn can still defend, still rebound, still execute late-clock, and still impose a level of organization most teams simply can’t match.

So why not keep adding?

Because futures betting isn’t about “who’s best.” It’s about price vs. risk. At -200, you’re paying a premium that assumes near-perfect conditions: health, matchups, tournament variance, random whistles, bad shooting nights, one weird quarter that turns into a one-and-done problem. That’s not how March works, even for the best teams. The better the number gets, the more it starts to resemble a tax for certainty that doesn’t exist in a single-elimination tournament.

And here’s the frustrating part: it’s going to be hard to find “spots” to bet UConn along the way, because they don’t give you many. They don’t play with their food. They don’t drift mentally. They don’t have long stretches where they look loose or disorganized. So if you’re waiting for a clean entry point — a dip, a bad performance, a market overreaction — you may not get it. That’s what great teams do. They deny you opportunities.

If you’re looking for a path to UConn losing that isn’t injury-related, the best case is probably a matchup that can disrupt their flow. And if we’re naming teams with at least a plausible profile, LSU is one that stands out. The Tigers have quick, athletic guards who can pressure the ball, speed up decisions, and force UConn into the one area where they’ve shown some vulnerability: turnovers. UConn is so good everywhere else that you’re basically hunting for the thin crack in the armor — and ball pressure is one of the only levers that can create chaos.

Bottom line: we love our existing UConn numbers. We’re happy to ride them. But at -200, it’s not great value anymore. Sometimes the sharpest move is the simplest one: stop adding right when everyone else finally wants in.