seahawks at commanders

Washington +3 is the classic buy-low you circle. Jayden Daniels returns, you’re getting the key number at home, and the market is drifting toward 2.5—so this is the moment to grab the full field goal. Everyone’s flagged the Commanders’ WR health, but Seattle’s got parallel availability concerns this week, which narrows the skill-position gap and elevates Washington’s edges: QB mobility, designed run game, and a defensive front that can heat up a shaky protection unit.

Seattle has been a great story, no doubt—but now you’re paying an inflated tax with Sam Darnold laying a field goal on the road. That’s a different ask than catching points as a feisty overachiever. Washington’s defense can muddy the pocket, force horizontal throws, and make Seattle string together 10-play drives—exactly the script that tilts variance toward an underdog. Offensively, Daniels’ legs stress man coverage, open RPO slants, and keep third downs manageable; one or two explosives flips this from coin-flip to live home upset.

Numbers matter: 3 is still widely available, but 2.5s are popping, so shop now. Pre-game: Commanders +3. Live: look to add if Washington trails early but the success rate/run game is holding. Side + key number + matchup leverage = green light on the home dog.